Julian Benz, Security Consultant, Geopolitical Risk (GPR)

February 28, 2020

US-Iran Conflict: Increased Geopolitical Risk From Cyber Attacks Based Out of Iran

Blog Post

After the United States assassinated Major general Qasem Soleimani on January 3, 2020, many looked to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei for a response as he is responsible for Iran’s foreign policy. Khamenei is Iran’s Supreme Leader and head of state, as well as head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), sworn to protect the Islamic Republic. Soleimani reported directly to Khamenei as the head of the IRGC’s Quds Force, Iran’s special elite unit responsible for foreign operations. Additionally, the Ayatollah had a personal connection to the assassination because Soleimani was one of his most trusted advisors.

Iran Geopolitical Risk Analysis: How Will Iran Avenge Soleimani’s Death?

The assassination of Soleimani, revered by many Iranians as an expectational military officer, led major news outlets to question if a war would break out between the United States and Iran. Actions taken by Khamenei have led VerSprite’s Geopolitical Risk practice (GPR) to conclude that Iran seeks to retaliate through a limited response rather than escalate tensions which could spark international conflict between the United States and Iran.

The Top 3 Reasons Why the Ayatollah Does Not Want to Escalate Tensions with the US:

1

Domestic Upheaval: Iranian Protesters Pressuring Islamic Government

2

Iranian Allies Offer Financial & Military Support

3

The Superior Military & Stronger Economy of the United States

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